IANS | 03 May, 2024
The Indian rupee will trade in the narrow band of Rs 83.25– 83.75
against the US dollar in the remaining period of Q1FY25, a top economist
at the credit rating agency CARE Ratings said on Friday.
"We
expect the USD/INR to trade in the narrow band of 83.25–83.75 in the
remainder of Q1FY25. RBI interventions are expected to limit any
volatility," Chief Economist Rajani Sinha said.
According to her,
the inflation in the US has surpassed the market expectations for four
consecutive months, aggravating the inflationary concerns.
In its
May policy, the US Federal Reserve acknowledged limited further progress
towards its inflation goal and highlighted that the inflation path
remains uncertain. Markets expect US interest rates to stay higher for
longer and are pricing in just one rate cut in 2024, Sinha said.
While
FPIs have pulled out of Indian markets in April, FPI inflows are
expected to rebound following India’s inclusion in the JP Morgan bond
index in June, she said.
Meanwhile, experts are waiting for the US
job market report which would likely to show that the labour market
there remains strong.
"While US non-farm pay-roll additions are
expected to slow in April, they are expected to remain well above
pre-Covid levels. The US unemployment rate is expected to remain
unchanged," Sinha said.
According to Jateen Trivedi, Vice
President Research Analyst, Commodity and Currency, LKP Securities, the
market participants are eagerly awaiting the US nonfarm payroll data
along with the unemployment data.
"These releases are key
indicators that will likely keep market participants active as they
provide insights for the Fed's monetary policy decisions," he said.
On
Friday, the rupee traded within a range of 83.33-83.45, exhibiting
minor strength after a positive gap at opening. However, prices drifted
lower from 83.33 to 83.45 before closing around 83.42, Trivedi said.