IANS | 14 Sep, 2023
Even though the wholesale price index (WPI) inflation (WPI) for
August 2023 was minus 0.52 per cent, it will enter the positive zone
from next month onwards, said a top economist at CARE Ratings.
The
central government on Thursday said the annual rate of inflation based
on all India WPI number is (-) 0.52 per cent (Provisional) for the month
of August, 2023 (over August, 2022) against (-) 1.36 per cent recorded
in July, 2023.
"The negative rate of inflation in August, 2023 is
primarily due to fall in prices of mineral oils, basic metals, chemical
& chemical products, textiles and food products as compared to the
corresponding month of previous year," the government said.
Reacting
to the WPI numbers Rajani Sinha, Chief Economist, CARE Ratings told
IANS: "WPI contracted for the fifth straight month in August due to
deflation in fuel and power and manufactured products categories whereas
WPI food inflation remained in double digits. Sub-categories such as
mineral oils, textiles, chemicals and metals remained in contractionary
zone on an annual basis."
However, some pressure was visible in
fuel and power category with a sharp sequential rise in mineral oils and
electricity prices, she added. “With the support of high base fading,
some uptick in WPI inflation could be seen in the second half. We could
expect WPI inflation to enter the positive territory next month onwards.
Additionally, rise in global crude oil prices and deficient rainfall
domestically pose an upside threat. Nevertheless, for the full fiscal
year (FY24), we expect WPI inflation to average in the range of 1-2 per
cent," Sinha said.