IANS | 22 Nov, 2023
Although India remains the fastest growing economy amongst the large
ones, outlook on FII flows remained uncertain, according to a research
by broking firm Prabhudas Lilladher.
Nifty has been flattish in
past six weeks as strong DII flows have more than neutralized FII flows.
However historically, strong FII flows have been associated with
markets making new highs, the report said.
India witnessed strong
FII inflows along with other emerging markets from April23. It peaked
out in June23 and it has now turned negative from Sept23. India is also
heading for state and general elections over next 6-8 months which could
increase political uncertainty and impact the FII inflows.
Nifty
has been flattish in past 6 weeks and gave just 1.6 per cent return in
past one quarter as strong DII flows neutralized FII outflows.
Market
has been taking all headwinds in its stride and the action has been
very stock specific as Mid/small caps continue to outperform large caps.
Sectoral rotation is clearly visible as Realty, Metals, Power and
Healthcare have joined the party.
Odds are evenly balanced as
headwinds emanating from firm US interest rates, El Nino impact on crops
and inflation, volatile crude and geopolitical uncertainty still
abound, the report said.
Nifty is not in a bubble zone as it is
trading at 17.2 per cent discount to 10-year average which provides
comfort. India is on the verge of “Mother of all Elections” after having
a stable government from past decade, however state election results
will dictate market momentum in run upto Lok Sabha elections next year,
it said.