SME Times is powered by   
Search News
Just in:   • S.Korea ready for vaccine roll out as shipment begins for doses  • ISSDA concerns on revocation of duties on stainless steel imports  • Robust global cues, healthy FII inflows push equities higher  • Economy on cusp of a turnaround in fortunes: Shaktikanta  • Stricter norms for social media, OTT 
Last updated: 17 Jan, 2021  

Rupee.9.Thmb.jpg Rising trade deficit to dampen rupee's prospects

Rupee.9.jpg
   Top Stories
» Economy on cusp of a turnaround in fortunes: Shaktikanta
» Stricter norms for social media, OTT
» 'Consumption, investment demand recovers'
» India's fiscal position to remain weak: Moody's
» 'Monetise & modernise' is our motto: PM on disinvestment
SME Times News Bureau | 18 Jan, 2021
Rising trade deficit along with chances of a populist budget might dampen rupee's prospects during the coming week.

Nevertheless, persistent interest of FIIs in India's equity market will arrest any sharp depreciation moves.

"The 25-month high trade deficit may put brakes for strong rupee appreciation. Equity markets also looks stretched and a cool-off looks imminent now. Eyes will be on the budget and the ballooning fiscal deficit, which can be a challenge for the local currency," said Sajal Gupta, Head, Forex and Rates, Edelweiss Securities.

On the other hand, new IPOs and hopes of healthy Q3 earning results will retain FIIs' interest in equities.

"We have two IPO subscriptions next week, which can attract FII participation and keep the USDINR spot lower," said Rahul Gupta, Head of Research-Currency at Emkay Global Financial Services.

"However, RBI's intervention will be eyed. In spot 73 is acting as strong support, a break of which will push prices towards 72.70-72.75 and then the 72.50 zone. However, 73.50 will act as immediate resistance," he added.

Till now in January, FIIs have invested around $ 2.3 billion in equities.

Consequently, the rupee continued to appreciate and closed at 73.07 to a greenback.

"We have an important event this week. President-elect Joe Biden and Vice President-elect Kamala Harris will be sworn in during the 59th inaugural ceremony in Washington DC on January 20. It is important that this event passes peacefully in light of the recent violent attack by Trump supporters on the US Capitol. We expect rupee to consolidate in the range of 72.75 to 73.3 for this week with depreciating bias," said Devarsh Vakil, Deputy Head of Retail Research at HDFC Securities.

The swearing-in assumes significance since the incoming US administration has announced a new stimulus package. If enacted, the $1.9 trillion package will deliver a further jolt of fiscal stimulus to the struggling US recovery.

"As the newly elected President takes charge more clarity on the stimulus package will be important to watch. Market participants will also be keeping an eye on the ECB and Bank of Japan policy statement; expectation is that the both the major central banks are expected to maintain a dovish outlook," said Gaurang Somaiya, Forex & Bullion Analyst, Motilal Oswal Financial Services.
 
Print the Page
Add to Favorite
 
Share this on :
 

Please comment on this story:
 
Subject :
Message:
(Maximum 1500 characters)  Characters left 1500
Your name:
 

 
  Customs Exchange Rates
Currency Import Export
US Dollar
66.20
64.50
UK Pound
87.50
84.65
Euro
78.25
75.65
Japanese Yen 58.85 56.85
As on 26 Feb, 2021
  Daily Poll
COVID-19 has directly affected your business
 Yes
 No
 Can't say
  Commented Stories
» Cryptocurrency Bill: Killing the messenger?(1)
» Canada: Variant cases surge as overall Covid-19 numbers drop(1)
» CBDT refunds over Rs 1.93 lakh cr to 1.90 cr taxpayers since April(1)
 
 
About Us  |   Advertise with Us  
  Useful Links  |   Terms and Conditions  |   Disclaimer  |   Contact Us  
Follow Us : Facebook Twitter