SME Times is powered by   
Search News
Just in:   • Australia-Canada-India pact to help fight climate change, boost supply chain resilience  • Govt reiterates consequences of IMEI tampering and telecom identifier misuse  • S. Korean govt to launch AI-powered platform for farm products in 2026  • New fertiliser plant in Assam to reach 12.5 lakh MT per annum capacity: Minister  • India sees big scope for tie-up with Canada in critical minerals, clean energy: Piyush Goyal 
Last updated: 28 Aug, 2019  

fitchTHMB.jpg Fitch cuts GDP forecast to 6.7 pc for current fiscal

GDP.9.jpg
   Top Stories
» India sees big scope for tie-up with Canada in critical minerals, clean energy: Piyush Goyal
» PM Modi calls for global AI compact at G20 summit; announces summit in India
» Bitcoin heads for worst monthly slump since 2022 as crypto rout deepens
» Singapore partnership to boost India’s chip plans: Ashwini Vaishnaw
» Bitcoin falls to seven-month low as US economic concerns weigh on traders
SME Times News Bureau | 28 Aug, 2019

Fitch group firm India Ratings and Research on Wednesday lowered its GDP growth forecast India to six-year low at 6.7 per cent in the current fiscal as against 7.3 per cent projected earlier.

The 'band-aid' measures would not help the economy as it faces several cyclical and structural issues, said the rating agency, referring to the recent stimulus measures by the government to arrest slowdown in some key sectors.

With most engines of growth stuttering, the economic slowdown would continue and the April-June GDP figure could slip to 5.7 per cent. The research and rating agency said that it would be the fifth consecutive quarter of declining growth.

The agency does not see private investment, one of the key drivers of economic growth, picking up anytime soon as manufacturing sector capacity utilisation has hovered in the range of 70-76 per cent since FY14 and unless it reaches optimum level, no company would make investments. Further, the stress in the real estate sector continues.

Sunil Kumar Sinha, Principal Economist and Director (public finance) at the ratings firm, said hoping that government expenditure alone would change the investment landscape would be expecting too much.

The slowing economy could also mean businesses failing and hence a rise in non-performing assets (NPAs) of banks.

Among the factors pulling down growth are slowdown in consumption, delayed and uneven progress of monsoon, decline in manufacturing, inability of Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) to resolve cases in a time-bound manner and rising global trade tension impacting exports.

Terming the recent measures announced by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman as insufficient to support high growth, the agency said that they will support growth only in the medium term.

It, however, expects GDP growth to recover to 7.4 per cent in the second half of the financial year, mainly on account of the base effect.

The Fitch group firm said that since major contributors to the economy's investment pie are households (which include unorganised and unregistered enterprises, 38.6 per cent) and private corporations (37.9 per cent), their spendings hold the key for reviving broad-based investment activity in the economy.

Of the other two demand-side growth drivers, the agency said that government expenditure continues to be steady and is expected to grow at 10.6 per cent in FY20 while exports are facing headwinds due to rising trade tensions and weakening global GDP growth.

 
Print the Page
Add to Favorite
 
Share this on :
 

Please comment on this story:
 
Subject :
Message:
(Maximum 1500 characters)  Characters left 1500
Your name:
 

 
  Customs Exchange Rates
Currency Import Export
US Dollar
₹88.70
₹87
UK Pound
₹119.90
₹116
Euro
₹104.25
₹100.65
Japanese Yen ₹59.20 ₹57.30
As on 30 Oct, 2025
  Daily Poll
Who do you think will benefit more from the India - UK FTA in the long run?
 Indian businesses & consumers.
 UK businesses & consumers.
 Both will gain equally.
 The impact will be negligible for both.
  Commented Stories
 
 
About Us  |   Advertise with Us  
  Useful Links  |   Terms and Conditions  |   Disclaimer  |   Contact Us  
Follow Us : Facebook Twitter