SME Times is powered by   
Search News
Just in:   • Delayed Payments - Barrier To MSME Growth  • PM Modi arrives in Karnataka, to reach Udupi in Army special chopper  • US-proposed list of points on Ukraine could form basis for future agreements: Putin  • Gold, silver prices rise on strong demand  • Iran's Supreme Leader says no message sent to US through third countries 
Last updated: 23 Apr, 2019  

Up.Down.Arrow.9.Thmb.jpg A look at, and beyond, GDP numbers

GDP.9.jpg
   Top Stories
» Gold, silver prices rise on strong demand
» Reliance Industries gets Rs 56.44 crore CGST penalty
» Sensex, Nifty turn positive after early losses ahead of key Q2 GDP data release
» RBI’s all-India House Price Index rises by 2.2 pc in Q2 of 2025-26
» India, Slovenia express optimism for early conclusion of EU FTA
Bikky Khosla | 23 Apr, 2019

India's GDP growth forecast for 2019-20 was lowered by multiple agencies recently. First, the ADB cut it to 7.2% from 7.6%. It was followed by the RBI’s cut to 7.2% from 7.4% and then by the IMF to 7.3%. The economy grew 6.6% in the December quarter, the slowest in five quarters, which prompted the CSO to trim its 2018-19 forecast to 7% in February. These projections signal to the need of taking care of our growth momentum.

Meanwhile, while the government has consistently claimed that India’s official GDP figures are accepted globally, the IMF Chief Economist recently expressed doubt over them. Previously, 108 economists expressed similar doubt. However, the IMF chief clearly welcomed the changes made to the GDP calculation in 2015, but flagged concerns only over some "deflator" used in the calculation. Our policy makers need to urgently act on this issue as well.

Most economists question why India, despite growing at a rate, which, in global comparative terms, is commendable, has failed to create enough jobs. Earlier this year, a report citing a leaked National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) survey revealed that unemployment in the country was at a 45-year-high in 2017-18. No doubt, in recent years the challenge of youth unemployment has come to the fore, and in terms of job creation the performance of the economy is hardly encouraging.

There are some other economic indicators in terms of which the performance of the economy is disappointing. Exports, for instance, witnessed just above 10% growth in the last five years after having more than doubled in the five years preceding 2014. The farm sector is floundering as well. Similarly, since FY13, gross capital formation as a percentage of GDP has dropped from 17% to 12% of GDP. These trends need to be reversed.

I invite your opinions.

 
Print the Page
Add to Favorite
 
Share this on :
 

Please comment on this story:
 
Subject :
Message:
(Maximum 1500 characters)  Characters left 1500
Your name:
 

 
  Customs Exchange Rates
Currency Import Export
US Dollar
₹88.70
₹87
UK Pound
₹119.90
₹116
Euro
₹104.25
₹100.65
Japanese Yen ₹59.20 ₹57.30
As on 30 Oct, 2025
  Daily Poll
Who do you think will benefit more from the India - UK FTA in the long run?
 Indian businesses & consumers.
 UK businesses & consumers.
 Both will gain equally.
 The impact will be negligible for both.
  Commented Stories
 
 
About Us  |   Advertise with Us  
  Useful Links  |   Terms and Conditions  |   Disclaimer  |   Contact Us  
Follow Us : Facebook Twitter