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Monday's punishing selloff in US markets could be beginning of next leg lower for stocks
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IANS | 06 Dec, 2022
Mondays punishing selloff in US markets could be the beginning of the
next leg lower for stocks as a sense of complacency has taken hold in
markets following a stellar October and November, MarketWatch reported.
In
a note to clients on Monday, Jonathan Krinsky, chief technical
strategist at BTIG, said that US stocks were primed to tumble after the
S&P 500 bounced off its latest resistance level, which coincided
with the index's 200-day moving average, a key technical level for
assets.
"Investors have gotten too complacent, as the SPX is
turning down from its year-long downtrend resistance just as it did in
March and August," Krinsky said, MarketWatch reported.
Other
market strategists agreed with that warning, but clarified that the
sense of complacency has been the result of the market's powerful relief rally over the past six weeks.
Katie
Stockton, a technical strategist at Fairlead Strategies, said the
latest pullback for stocks is "a sign that the market is fragile, and
reasonably so given the longevity and magnitude of the relief rally".
Before
Monday's session, the S&P 500 had risen more than 16% off the
intraday lows reached on Oct. 13, the day stocks staged a historic
turnaround following the release of hotter than expected inflation data
from September.
After the release of the November jobs report on
Friday, stocks slumped again on Monday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq
Composite Index recording their biggest pullbacks since Nov. 9,
according to Dow Jones Market Data, MarketWatch reported.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell 2000 also sold off sharply.
Traders'
sense of security is reflected in the CBOE Volatility Index, otherwise
known as the "VIX" or Wall Street's "fear gauge", according to Nicholas
Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research.
Often a
counter-indicator, the VIX reaching a sub-20 level should have been a
warning sign for investors that stocks were vulnerable to a selloff,
Colas told MarketWatch.
As Colas explained in a note to clients
on Monday, the main concern for stocks right now is that investors have
been ignoring risks of further downward revisions to corporate earnings
expectations, as well as other potential blowback from a looming
recession that many economists view as likely, MarketWatch reported.
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Customs Exchange Rates |
Currency |
Import |
Export |
US Dollar
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66.20
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64.50 |
UK Pound
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87.50
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84.65 |
Euro
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78.25
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75.65 |
Japanese
Yen |
58.85 |
56.85 |
As on 13 Aug, 2022 |
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